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Following the changes in Government Machinery that took place on the 09/05/2007, this area of work has moved from the Home Office; and is now managed by the Ministry of Justice.  These pages have been left here as a navigational aid – and will be removed in time.


NOMS projections

NOMS projections cover:

  • Long-term and short-term prison population projections in England and Wales;
  • Long-term sentencing projections in England and Wales (NOTE: this is currently being set up).


Regular publications


From 9th May 2007 NOMS has become part of the Ministry of Justice. Please see the Ministry of Justice website for the latest publications


Prison Population Projections (Home Office Statistical Bulletin)
This presents the latest projection of the prison population in England and Wales over a period of seven years. Projections are based on assumptions about future sentencing trends and the implications of new policy initiatives with an agreed timescale.


Recent publications

HOSB 11/06 27.7.06 Prison Population Projections 2006-2013, England and Wales (internet only)


Previous Prison Population Projections Bulletins

2005
10/05 26.7.05 Updated and revised prison population projections 2005-2011 England and Wales (internet only) Also available: supplementary excel data spreadsheets
01/05 24.01.05 Prison Population Projections 2005–2011 (England and Wales)
Also available: Excel data spreadsheets

2002
14/02 09.12.02 Projections of Long Term Trends in the Prison Population to 2009


2001
8/01 23.05.01 Projections of Long Term Trends in the Prison Population to 2008


2000
2/00 10.02.00 Projections of Long Term Trends in the Prison Population to 2007


1999
1/99 20.01.99 Projections of Long Term Trends in the Prison Population to 2006

1998
2/98 29.01.99 Revised projections of long term trends in the prison population to 2005

1997
7/97 03.04.97 Projections of Long Term Trends in the Prison Population to 2005


Other relevant publications

Sentencing statistics 2003, England and Wales

Offender management caseload statistics England and Wales 2003
Criminal Statistics, England and Wales, 2003
Criminal Statistics, Supplementary Tables, Volume 1-4, 2003


Useful links

Sentencing and Penalty Notices for Disorder Statistics
Offender management caseload statistics
NOMS
Prison Service
Probation Service
Sentencing Guidelines Council

Date modified: July 2006


© Crown Copyright 2006

 

 
 
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